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"Spatio-temporal dynamics of childhood infectious disease: predictability and the impact of vaccination"

Bryan Grenfell (Princeton University)
Tuesday April 9, 12-1pm
Montreal Neurological Institute, DeGrandpre Communications Centre

Abstract: As well as their public health importance, immunizing childhood infections such as measles are paradigms for the emergence of oscillatory dynamics in population biology. Here, we show how a relatively simple epidemic clockwork for measles epidemics can lead to a complex zoo of nonlinear epidemic patterns. We then illustrate the impact of partial immunity and evolutionary escape impact dynamics and prospects for control in influenza